West Bengal Elections 2026: BJP Makes Surprise Gains in Muslim-Majority Seats, Numbers Shock Analysts

New Delhi: The trends emerging before the results of West Bengal Assembly Elections 2026 have changed the political picture. In the data till 12 noon, BJP is leading on 185 seats, while Trinamool Congress is leading on 99 seats and other parties on 6 seats. Among these trends, the most discussed issue is the performance of BJP in Muslim dominated seats, which till now have been considered the stronghold of TMC.

Has the game changed in Muslim dominated seats?

The seats in the state with more than 30 percent Muslim population have always decided the electoral equation. TMC has been dominant in these areas, but this time the trends are telling a different story. BJP has achieved unexpected lead in many seats, which has surprised even political analysts.

What are the signals being seen in Murshidabad?

The contest has also become interesting in Murshidabad, which is considered a strong bastion of TMC. BJP candidate Gauri Shankar Ghosh is leading by more than 35 thousand votes, while TMC's Shaoni Singha Roy is lagging behind. This increase suggests that this time there may be a change in the traditional voting pattern.

Who has the upper hand on Habibpur seat?

BJP has also taken lead in Habibpur seat. Party's candidate Joyal Murmu is leading by about 28 thousand votes, while TMC's Amal Kisku is lagging behind. The trends of this seat also indicate that the contest has not been one-sided.

What is the situation in Maanbazar?

BJP's Mayna Murmu is leading in Manbazar seat and TMC's Sandhya Rani Tudu is trailing. Although the margin here is less, the initial trends appear to be in favor of BJP.

Is there division in Muslim votes?

Leader of Opposition Suvendu Adhikari has claimed that there has been a division of Muslim votes in South Bengal, which has directly benefited the BJP. According to him, earlier where TMC used to get 90 to 95 percent votes unilaterally, now cracks are visible in it, especially in districts like Malda, Murshidabad and North Dinajpur.

Was the change in voter list the reason?

Analysts believe that the effect of Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of voter list is also visible in these trends. It is being told that a large number of names were removed in many areas, due to which the voting pattern was affected and BJP benefited.

Does TMC still have influence?

Although in some areas TMC still seems to be getting the support of Muslim votes, but the unity is not visible as before. The party maintains its hold in South Bengal and Cooch Behar, but in North Bengal as well as other areas, BJP's performance seems better than expected.

whose government will be formed?

Voting was held on 293 out of 294 seats in the state and now the eyes of the entire country are fixed on the results. Nearly 90 percent voting was recorded in this election held in two phases. At present the trends are in favor of BJP, but the final picture will be clear only after the official results.